An AI-powered Polymarket trading protocol that systematically identifies mispriced markets with positive expected value and executes capital-efficient strategies. Profits are distributed to token holders.
A fully systematic AI trading engine. No emotions. No manual picks. No overexposure.
Continuously scans all Polymarket prediction markets to detect underpriced and overpriced outcomes in real time.
Uses advanced probabilistic models combining Geometric Brownian Motion and historical volatility to calculate precise Expected Value.
Capital allocation optimized via fractional Kelly Criterion with strict position limits, controlling drawdowns for sustainable growth.
Revenue generated by the bot is periodically distributed to $EDGE token holders, aligning protocol and user incentives.
Focuses on delta-neutral and asymmetric payoff structures, generating returns regardless of overall market direction.
Validated through 1,000+ Monte Carlo simulations with Brier Score < 0.15, Sharpe Ratio 0.8-1.2, and max drawdown of -25%.
From market scanning to profit distribution — fully automated.
AI continuously scans Polymarket for all active prediction markets, tracking order book liquidity and price movements.
Combines theoretical probability (GBM / Black-Scholes) with empirical historical data to compute precise expected value for each opportunity.
Positions are sized using fractional Kelly Criterion (33% of optimal) with max 4% per trade and 7% group limits.
Net trading profits are periodically distributed to $EDGE token holders proportional to their holdings.
Our model combines proven financial mathematics with real-world market data for precision predictions.
Standard model used by hedge funds, accounting for volatility and drift in asset prices.
70% theoretical (Black-Scholes) + 30% empirical (historical data) for balanced accuracy.
33% of optimal Kelly size with strict 4% per-trade and 7% correlated-group caps.
Simple, transparent allocation designed to align long-term incentives.
Unlike discretionary trading, every parameter is mathematically optimized.
Fully systematic execution. The bot does not panic sell, FOMO buy, or deviate from the model. Every decision is data-driven.
Max 4% per single trade, 7% group limit on correlated events, and combined YES+NO capped at 5%.
Backtested max drawdown of -25% with 3.5% stake limits. Fractional Kelly (33%) ensures sustainable long-term compounding.
Join the protocol where AI finds alpha on Polymarket and profits flow back to holders.
